Scoop Election 08: edited by Gordon Campbell

Gordon Campbell on the arrest of Mourad Dhina

January 26th, 2012

Article – Gordon Campbell

Gordon Campbell on the arrest of Mourad Dhina, and France’s ongoing problems with the Arab Spring


France can be a mystery, even to its friends. In 1986, New Zealand had its own first hand experience of just how ruthlessly the French security /intelligence apparatus will pursue what it sees as the best interests of La Belle France. In mid-January, the arrest in Paris of the highly respected Swiss-based Algerian human rights campaigner Dr Mourad Dhina is one of those cases where the actions of France seem (a) outrageous (b) consistent with how France routinely behaves towards dissidents from its former colonies and (c) illustrative of how its Interior Ministry seems to operate as a virtual law unto itself, with or without the knowledge of its political masters.


Dr Mourad Dhina

In particular, the arrest of Mourad Dhina serves to highlight France’s very troubled and ambivalent relationship with the Arab Spring. Given the entwined relationships between the Algerian regime and elements within the French political infrastructure, the incident may also – arguably – be related to the financing of the re-election campaign this year of French President Nicolas Sarkozy, though such connections must only be speculative. (For this report on the Dr Dhina’s arrest, Scoop Political Editor Gordon Campbell contacted sources in London, Switzerland and elsewhere.)

Dhina was arrested by the French authorities at Orly airport on January 16th on the basis of a highly dubious extradition request by Algeria. The warrant contained allegations about contacts with extremist groups that Dhina had allegedly made between 1997 and 1999 in the course of his human rights work in Switzerland – activities subject to Swiss law, yet which have plainly not been a cause of concern to the Swiss authorities. Dhina has, in fact, been a resident of Switzerland since 1994 and has had links to that country since 1987. Five of his six children were born in Switzerland and all of his children and his wife enjoy Swiss citizenship.

In the course of his human rights work, Dhina has become a small but persistent thorn in the side of the Algerian regime. Dhina has two main vehicles for his human rights activity, both of them strongly committed to non-violent methods of social change. Firstly, he is executive director of Al Karama, a distinguished and influential Islamic human rights organization that lobbies Moslem governments throughout the Middle East and North Africa on behalf of the victims of state repression, and makes representations to the United Nations on their behalf. In the course of that work, Dhina and his colleagues at Al Karama (who, until early last year included the New Zealand lawyer Deborah Manning) has filed a General Allegation (a form of complaint) against Algeria to the UN Working Group on Disappearances, regarding the issue of the thousands of disappeared in Algeria in the course of the country’s civil war during the 1990s. This lobbying was on top of the submission to the UN of hundreds of individual cases of human rights violations committed by Algeria over the past 20 years, and the submission of information about the human rights situation in Algeria to the Human Rights Council, the Committee on Human Rights and the Committee against Torture.

Last October – and this is highly relevant to his current predicament – Dhina was strongly supportive of the arrest and questioning in Switzerland for alleged crimes against humanity of Khalid Nezzar, the Algerian general who was a central figure in the overthrow of the democratically elected Islamic government in Algeria in January 1992, and in the subsequent bloody civil war. Some commentators (such as the British academic and North African expert George Joffe) believe that the French/ Algerian collusion in the arrest of Dhina in January is a form of ‘payback’ for Nezzar’s embarrassment.


Khalid Nezzar

There is more to the picture, however. Dhina is also a founding member of the Rachad Movement, a loose umbrella group of Algerian former diplomats, ex-civil servants, journalists etc that seek the peaceful overthrow of the current regime – which has effectively been in power since the country won independence from France in 1962. On May 12 this year, Algeria will hold legislative elections, and – if there is to be any belated flowering of the Arab Spring in Algeria – Rachad would like to think that it would have a prominent role to play. In early 2010, Rachad’s website became the first political Internet website to be blocked by the Algerian regime.

Last year in a surprise move, France’s newly appointed Foreign Minister Alain Juppe allowed Rachad to open an office in Paris – partly as payback, as this article by the Menas news group suggests, for the open hostility of the Algerian regime to France’s leading role in the overthrow of Libyan dictator Mohammed Gaddafi.

The most significant move by France has been to allow the Rachad Movement to open an office in Paris. France has traditionally been opposed to being seen, at least publicly, to allow Algerian opposition parties and movements to operate on their soil. This decision is a major shift in French policy and one which is being regarded in Algiers with extreme anxiety. Rachad is the opposition movement that Algeria’s rulers most fear. Allowing it to open an office in France presents the Algerian regime with a new and very serious problem. As far as Juppé is concerned, this is now ‘pay-back’ time.


Alain Juppe

In which case, the arrest of Mourad Dhina could well be interpreted as being a further round of payback – this time by the Algerian regime itself, directed against Alain Juppe – and delivered by the regime’s close friends in the French Interior Ministry, whose chief Minister Claude Gueant, visited Algiers in December.


Claude Gueant


The message from thre Algerian generals could hardly be more plain. Do you really want to cozy up to Algerian dissidents Mr Juppe, and let them open an office in Paris? If so, we’ll get our friends in the French Interior Ministry to see about that.

The upshot of these tangled motives and turf wars is that one of the most respected Islamic human rights campaigners in the Middle East is now languishing in a French jail, on the basis of trumped up allegations about his work over ten years ago on Swiss soil, and under Swiss jurisdiction – which the Swiss have patently never believed. At this time, there is no fixed date for Dr Dhina’s appearance before a court, but it will be at the latest on 20 February 2012, as the Algerian authorities have 30 days from the date of his first appearance in court to submit all information about their request for extradition.

Would Rachad like to see countries like New Zealand that have friendly ties with France, to make diplomatic representations to France on Dr Dhina’s behalf, to urge his speedy release? “Yes. Definitely.” Rachad’s most prominent spokesperson, Mohammed Larbi Zirtouttold me by telephone from London. “Because we are just trying to tell France that Algerians are not against France, and that Rachad is not against France. We are just against those who want to keep Algeria under their hegemony. We thought that after the Arab Spring, that France would change its position. We thought that after Mr Juppe came to Foreign Affairs, things would change. But it seems that France is always governed by the Ministry of the Interior, and has been for about 130 years – both during and after the process of colonisation. That’s the problem with France.”


Mohammed Larbi Zirtout

Similar sentiments were expressed to me from Switzerland by Rachid Mesli, director of Al Karama’s Legal Department. “ We would like to see a consensus by democratic countries to stop implementing warrants which are made by authoritarian regimes. We would like to see democratic states request that Interpol respect Article 3 of its constitution, which states “It is strictly forbidden for the Organization to undertake any intervention or activities of a political, military, religious or racial character,…”.Extradition warrants such as the one served on Dr Dhina, Mesli says, “ are clearly violating this article.”

As mentioned, France has had a very difficult time coming to grips with the Arab Spring, especially when this has involved democratic movements for change in its former colonies, and against Francophone dictators. For instance, when the Arab Spring first began in its former colony of Tunisia a year ago, France chose to put itself spectacularly on the wrong side of history.

France’s then Foreign Minister Michèle Alliot-Marie not only defended the initial repressive response by the Tunisian President Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali , but offered him teargas, took a holiday in Tunis at the height of the demonstrations, travelled on the private jet of one of Ben Ali’s leading cronies and – even when his regime began to topple – suggested sending in French gendarmes to restore order. Amidst a storm of protest, she then resigned, and was replaced by Juppe.

Juppe proceeded to carve out a quite different direction for France in a speech to a symposium on the Arab Spring in Paris last April, beginning with an apology for its previous stance towards Tunisia. Juppe not only conceded that the revolutionary wave had been a “surprise” to France but went further : “For too long we thought that the authoritarian regimes were the only bastions against extremism in the Arab world. Too long, we have brandished the Islamist threat as a pretext for justifying to an extent turning a blind eye on governments which were flouting freedom and curbing their country’s development.” Astonishingly, Juppe then compared the Arab Spring favourably to the Islamic Golden Age. He said that while France does not have a policy of supporting “regime change”, it intends to speak up for human rights in the Arab world and to back the transitions to democracy in North Africa. Understandably, the Algerian generals were not amused.

Almost simultaneously, Nicolas Sarkozy sought to restore France’s standing within the Arab Spring by taking a vanguard role in the Western action against Libya. Again, the Algerian generals – who, right until the end, provided the last bastion of support for Gaddafi, and who supplied him with French – originated logistical support to help him fight French troops – were deeply critical of France’s new role, sensing the potential threat to their own survival. Yet even so, the two countries are still too entwined for such differences to become decisive. In stark contrast to Libya, do the cultural links between Algeria and France simply run too deep for France to ever take the same approach to Algeria that it adopted towards Libya ?

“Yes,” Zirtout says, “that’s definitely one of the explanations.” (And Zirtout should know. In 1995, he was Algeria’s ambassador to Libya, before resigning in protest at the Algerian regime’s actions during the civil war.) “Because lets not forget the culture and the French language – that’s the first thing to think about in when it comes to France’s foreign political relations. Any Francophone country is by definition part of the vital sphere of French interests.” Despite Gaddafi’s increasing ties to the West in the past five to six years, Gaddafi was still seen as being far from France because he had no cultural or linguistic connection to it. “Where there is French culture or language …its different. France has always said, and is still saying, that the second country after France – that speaks French and where French culture has a hegemonic position – is Algeria. Its not Canada, or Belgium or Switzerland. It is Algeria.”

Not that the regime in Algeria has ever been a compliant partner. Like two mutually suspicious gangster families, Algeria and France are as co-joined as those of the United States and Israel, and in similarly morally destructive ways. While the arrest of Dhina may be the product of a turf war between Gueant and Juppe, the motivations of the Algerians to strike at this time are less clear. The extradition request against him has been on the table for well over five years. During that time, has Dhina previously been able to pass through France without incident ? “Yes, definitely,” Zirtout says. Before and after Rachad opened its office in Paris, Dhina had been in Paris “at least three or four times, if not more. ”

So does Rachad itself regard the arrest as a personal payback for Dhina’s actions in the past against Khalid Nezzar and in highlighting the regime’s human rights abuses to the UN – or is this being seen as a pre-emptive strike against Rachad’s opposition role during the upcoming legislative elections in Algeria ?

Not surprisingly, Zirtout chooses to put more emphasis on the second point. “The main objective of the regime is to try and neutralise Rachad by excising one of its founders, and one of its important members. And to try and give this a legal appearance. The coming months are extremely crucial for the regime. Not only because of the elections, but because of the Arab Spring.” So far, he concedes, Algeria has not seen the democratic uprisings that have occurred in Egypt and much of the Middle East. Zirtout not only feels optimistic that these uprisings will ultimately occur, but even sees historical cause for optimism in the current delay. In 1952 and 1953, he says, there were prior simmerings in Tunisia and in Morocco before the Algerian revolution finally broke out in 1954. “ And then it became one of the greatest revolutions against colonialism in the past 60 years. ”

Why, at this time, has France decided to lend credibility to Algeria’s bogus extradition request? Well, he says, its simple. “One, they need the help of the Algerians – particularly financially speaking – in this critical year of the French presidential election. [But] not only the financial connection is important, but also the connection of the Algerian regime in France. Lets not fiorget that there are three million who are Algerian or who are originally from Algeria in France, and this can play a role and some of them are more or less, linked to the regime.” The role of North Africa in French domestic politics is not a fresh development. When Gaddafi was under threat last year, Zirtout points out, he reminded Sarkozy of his role in helping to finance the French election in 2007.

Finally though, the fate of Algeria will be determined by its own people – most of whom have never heard of Mourad Dhina or Rachad, or who regard some of its leaders as having connections to the FIS party, whose overthrow triggered the calamitous civil war. Perhaps the giant shadow of the civil war – that cost the lives of some 200,000 people – really serves to explain why the Arab Spring has been slow to arrive in Algeria. Even if Algerians resent the current repressive order, are they also more inclined than people may be elsewhere, to fear what the alternative might bring ?

“No, this is not the explanation, “ Zirtout insists. “That’s the propaganda coming from the regime. Also some in Europe try to broadcast it.” Rachad’s leadership, he claims, has little connection to the FIS – but which, in any case, was the democratically elected victim of the regime’s coup d-etat. “In fact the problem is not that. Its not because [the public] fear the alternative may be worse than the regime is now. That’s what the regime is trying to convey…but instead, the problem is the atomisation of the society.”

That social atomisation, he concludes, does have a link, effectively, to the war. “The regime has done everything to destroy the society. It has destroyed the political parties, destroyed the unions, destroyed the civil society, NGOS, everything.” Moreover, that process has included the creation of dummy unions and civil organizations that have a direct link to the DRS, the secret service. “That’s what the regime has done. For many people, they don’t know who is the genuine one, from the fake one, the false one that is the creation of the regime.”

This process of atomisation has been abetted by the regime’s control of the means of communication. The media are virtually captive in what is, in informational terms, something of a closed system. “All the newspapers are more or less controlled by the regime.” Incredibly, Zirtout adds, here is only one television channel, run by the state, in a nation of 40 million people situated close to Europe. “The alternative is not clear in the mind of the society.” In his view, this is not because Algerians fear the alternative – but because they find it difficult to imagine, let alone to realise. Which makes it all the important for the regime to neutralise those potential leaders, like Dr Mourad Dhina, who can articulate the future.

New Zealand does have a role to play in this affair. Along with other Western nations, we have an interest in ensuring the peaceful success of the Arab Spring, and should be pressing France to release Dhina. If only because, as Rachid Mesli of Al Karama suggests, we would thereby be showing our support for valid international arrest warrants – and not being tacitly supportive of those countries like France which, for their own reasons, are selectively choosing to lend credibility to bogus, politically motivated ones issued by their cronies.

ENDS

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Gordon Campbell:On Labour’s current rethink of its identity

January 25th, 2012

Article – Gordon Campbell

Gordon Campbell: On Labour’s current rethink of its identity


Labour goes into its two day Taupo retreat today with what has charitably been dubbed a ‘slow and careful journey’ to a new identity under the leadership of David Shearer. Certainly the man himself has laid out a pretty circuitous route to the Treasury benches, which will apparently be via Napier and Timaru : Read the rest of this entry »

On Kim Dotcom’s bail application

January 24th, 2012

megaupload shut down by fbi, arrests, assets seized

The Crown is opposing bail for Megaupload CEO Kit Dotcom on the basis of (a) that he poses a flight risk and (b) he could recommence his operations if released. Neither seem to be very convincing arguments. By its very nature, the extradition battle is likely to be a lengthy one and if having money is held to be a decisive factor in being regarded as a flight risk, then bail would have to be denied to almost every white collar criminal who comes before the court. Read the rest of this entry »

On taking the fall for Anne Tolley

December 21st, 2011

Anyone looking for a textbook case of the apparent politicisation of the public service need look no further than the case of former Northland kura principal Debroah Anne Mutu, who became a potential embarrassment for then-Education Minister Anne Tolley, six weeks out from the election.

The initial RNZ report had cited a claimed lack of quality controls in education appointments – as exemplified by an already suspended former kura principal in Northland being appointed to a specialist advisory job with the Ministry. In the House, Tolley came out with all guns blazing on October 6th and branded the original RNZ story as being “completely false” in that no person who fitted such a category was currently in an advisory position.

Right. It now transpires that the distinction was a largely semantic one. Mutu – though not named in the original story – had been suspended for a year, had then resigned and was then appointed to an advisory role. So, in fact, she didn’t fit the exact category as described on RNZ in that she wasn’t still under suspension when appointed.

However, there were ongoing disciplinary proceedings going on within the teaching profession. The main reason we now know this is because both Deborah Mutu and her husband John Mutu have since been struck of the teachers’ roll, over charges of serious misconduct – which included an inappropriate relationship between John Mutu and a 15 year old pupil, and poor performance by the kura headed by Mrs Mutu.

So, having first protected the Minister by advising that no-one in an advisory capacity fitted the precise description cited in the RNZ story, the Education Ministry is now taking the fall as well. It has conceded that its vetting procedures were not rigorous enough and claimed that it did not know the full extent of the allegations against Mrs Mutu, or that she was still facing disciplinary action when it employed her. In appointing her, the Ministry said it had merely followed the recommendation of the national kura organization – whose president at the time, incredibly enough, was John Mutu. In future, the Ministry swears it will try to do better in future, and will require candidates to make declarations about pending charges, or court hearings.

What we are being asked to swallow is that when the original RNZ story first surfaced, no-one in the Ministry thought… hang on a minute, that description fits Deborah Mutu almost to a T, and hmm, it looks as if we took her on board on the recommendation of a body headed by her husband over whose head something of a cloud is still looming. We are being asked to believe that the Ministry had no institutional memory of the Mutu case – of his inappropriate behaviour, and of her kura’s performance shortcomings – either when appointing her, or when, in effect, defending her this year. That would require a series of memory lapses too sweeping to be even faintly credible.

It is far more likely that the Ministry – and the Minister – knew they’d been caught out, yet tried to concoct a plausibly deniable defence strategy. One that attacked the semantics of the RNZ story rather than address its substance. Ultimately a loophole was found that would allow the entire story to be rubbished and with luck (and the usual short attention span of the media news cycle) buried for good. It is only because of subsequent action by the teachers’ professional organization that this apparent collusion has been exposed to further examination.

Unfortunately, nothing useful will result. The Ministry has now taken the fall for their former Minister. It promises to do better. Well… until next time, and the next Ministry gets caught out. Anyone who has any experience with Official Information Act requests will recognise the process involved here. The system is adept at parsing OIA requests to find loose wording and/or loopholes that will allow information to be denied, especially if it might have a potentially embarrassing outcome for the Minister. Anecdotally, I have been told about staff who are prized precisely for their talent in finding creative and ingenious ways, within the law, to frustrate OIA requests and withhold the information being sought.

In the Mutu case, Tolley owes RNZ an apology, as well as needing to make a formal apology to the House. Reportedly, pressure is building on her to do so, in Parliament.

Even if – as seems likely – Tolley tries to portray herself as the innocent victim of her Ministry, this isn’t credible. Even bad advice at the time would not subsequently absolve her of an obligation to step forward and offer a correction and apology as soon as the full details emerged. Instead, Tolley is being dragged kicking and screaming towards that course of action. And this is the person who has just been appointed as Minister of Police. How can the public – or Prime Minister John Key – have any confidence in Tolley, in that role?

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On the guy who REALLY is running North Korea

December 20th, 2011

Years ago and while still a cub reporter, I had to accompany Muhammad Ali, Bundini Brown and rest of the Ali retinue on a week long tour of speaking engagements and exhibition fights in New Zealand. It was only on the last day of the tour that I finally figured out that Ali was not the kingpin of this troupe, and that the road manager (a guy called Harold Smith) was actually the boss of the entire operation. Smith had hired Muhammad Ali (and not the other way around) as a franchise operation for the duration of the trip, to pull in the punters. The evidence had been there, all along. It just took a mindset change to see things in the right light.

That same arrangement came to mind yesterday, while watching the news about the death of Kim Jong-Il in North Korea. Read the rest of this entry »

On Cunliffe’s likely role, and France as the next Eurozone crisis country

December 19th, 2011

Later this afternoon, we’ll find out just how the new Labour leader David Shearer has managed the difficult task of rewarding his faction while bringing some of his opponents back into the tent. Since David Parker is almost certain to get the new shadow Finance portfolio opposite Finance Minister Bill English, Shearer’s immediate task is how to include defeated leadership contender David Cunliffe, and to mollify him for the added humiliation of losing his shadow Finance role.

Just guessing… but one solution would be to pit Cunliffe against Steven Joyce in a shadow Commerce/Economic Development role. Clearly, Cunliffe’s talents cannot be wasted entirely. Nor can he be given a reason to sit out the next term brooding in his tent like Achilles, until such time (post-Shearer) as the caucus comes around to apologise.

Using Cunliffe to mark Joyce would also be a highly ironic outcome, given that Joyce is the 800 pound gorilla on National’s front bench. So the reward for Cunliffe will be to do most of the heavy lifting for his caucus opponents during the next term, while Parker gets the far easier job of marking Bill English. I’m guessing that this will be how Shearer will use Cunliffe – I have no inside knowledge – but it would be a gesture of caucus unity that might appeal to Cunliffe’s vanity. They don’t want me, but they need me etc etc…

Meanwhile the Cunliffe foot soldiers most likely to feel the lash from being on the losing team will be Charles Chauvel and Lianne Dalziel. Incredibly, Chauvel has reportedly got offside with some Wellington-based Labour MPs by his consistent support for Cunliffe, despite the (irrelevant) fact that a few troops close to Grant Robertson and Annette King were deployed to help his battle against Peter Dunne in Ohariu. Such are the irrational resentments of Labour’s internal clan politics.

Need it be pointed out that if talent is meant to be the guiding principle, that Chauvel – now likely to be demoted – is patently more talented than Nanaia Mahuta, who is bound to be promoted because, because… she supported Cunliffe, but can’t be punished because Labour needs to maintain its momentum within Maoridom. Sigh.
And now, France. Hate to sound apocalyptic but… “Le ciel nous tombe sur la tête!” In the next few days, the expected credit downgrade of France by the Standard and Poors credit rating agency has the potential to spoil everyone’s Christmas.

The least of these worries is that the S&P credit downgrade will reportedly cost French taxpayers an extra $4 billion a year over the next ten years. Tough on them, given that – as the French have been trying to argue – Britain’s debt position is even worse, so why isn’t S&P coming down harder on the Brits? Good question. That aside, this likely credit downgrade will erode France’s ability to contribute significantly to the save-the-euro plan recently thrashed out in Brussels, thereby making that rescue plan look even less credible than before.

That’s important because… only by having Germany and France pumping in truckloads of dollars to the European Financial Stability Facility does the Brussels plan have any chance of saving Greece, Portugal etc etc from default and eventual departure from the euro – which in turn, would result in the disintegration of the entire European Union project.

Hitherto, budget balancing measures have been the focus of the Eurozone response. Yet budget balancing measures alone were never going to be enough, as former British Prime Minister Gordon Brown told the American journalist Charlie Rose a couple of weeks ago. Policies to promote economic growth, Brown stressed, were also essential:

Europe has three problems, really, and none of them have been properly addressed. One is obviously the fiscal problem itself, the second is a banking problem, and the third is a growth and competitiveness problem. And unless you deal with each of these and deal with them as a group, you’re not going to get the recovery that’s necessary. Low growth will cause deficits to continue to be high.

[Rose] : So which problem should be the top priority?

You’ve got to deal with the three problems together. You need to have measures for growth that allow you to continue to reduce your deficits. One of the problems we face is that, with tough austerity in Greece and Spain and Portugal, growth is not recovering. Therefore, revenues become difficult to collect. We failed to understand that there’s a financial sector problem that’s got to be dealt with, and there’s a competitiveness problem. What should happen now is, first of all, the [European Financial Stability Facility] has got to be strengthened. You’ve got to send a message to the markets that Europe has come together to sort out this problem, and it’s going to create a firewall that is strong enough. You’ve then got to have a longer-term plan for reforming the euro.

Are you talking about the inflexibility of the euro?

[The U.S.] can print dollars, but you’ve also got wage flexibility that is greater than Europe’s. You’ve got greater interstate mobility. People are prepared to travel and migrate within America. And you’ve got a central budget of 25 percent of your GDP. So you’ve got a budget that can actually intervene when you’ve got problems in some of the poorer states and some of the most difficult areas. Europe’s budget is only 1 percent of GDP. And we have got far bigger differences between the states in Europe than you have in the U.S., where perhaps the gap between the poorer states and the richer states is about 1.5 to 1. In Europe, it could be as much as 4, 5, 6 to 1.

Depressed, yet? Obviously… the Eurozone has far deeper problems than the cartoon depictions of thrifty Germans and wasteful, indolent Greeks and Italians who need a taste of the fiscal lash to get their houses in order. That was never the main problem.

In good times, the weaker Eurozone members were captive markets for the Germans – who had wanted them within the euro all along, lest they become low wage/lowcost industrial competitors for Germany, if kept outside it. (The likes of George Friedman in Stratfor have also cited Germany’s geographical advantage over southern Eurozone nations, by dint of Germany’s proximity to river-borne trade routes.)

So, just as the Eurozone recessionary problems weren’t grounded in bad behaviour by the lazy, wasteful Greece and Italy, they can’t be solved by simply tightening the spending screws on those countries. If only because, during a recession, policies to tighten the screws are likely to choke off the revenues that make repayment even remotely feasible, while wiping out those diligent members of the middle class in countries such as Greece, who had been dutifully paying their taxes all along.

Policies to promote growth, in the midst of a recession? That need should be ringing a bell in New Zealand as well – where to date, the Key government has been behaving as if the only job that government needs do is to balance the budget, ASAP.

Balancing the budget is relatively easy, if you’re not on the receiving end of the pain. Policies to promote growth – which are necessary to create a sufficient number of well paying jobs to meet the real and aspirational goals of the middle class – is the far harder part of the economic development equation. That’s why the contest between Joyce and Cunliffe over the policy options to promote economic growth will be the real battleground of this second term.

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On Peter Dunne’s casting vote on asset sales

December 15th, 2011

As the late Roger Kerr pointed out in 2005, Peter Dunne went into the election that year advocating the 40% selldown of the government’s stake in most SOEs. So Dunne can hardly be accused of not being a consistent advocate of the partial privatisation model – he could more accurately claim that it was his idea in the first place.

Thus, the Greens are on very shaky ground in saying that Dunne doesn’t have a mandate to support the 49% selldown this year. In the end, that would turn on whether you regard Dunne’s stated opposition this year to the privatisation of water (which most people would see as opposition to the privatising of domestic water supplies) as also entailing an opposition to privatising the water used by hydro dams to generate electricity.

This year, Dunne’s strategy on assets sales was to present himself as the bulwark against the kind of total privatisation model we saw in the 1980s – which wasn’t being advocated by anyone but the Act loonies – and by contrast, to present his tacit support for the 49% selldown as (somehow) being a moderate alternative.

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On the Labour leadership change

December 13th, 2011

david shearer, grant robertson

So it is to be David Shearer as leader, and Grant Robertson as deputy. With David Cunliffe, there were always two concerns. One, whether the wider public would warm to Cunliffe’s combatively intellectual style, and secondly whether his caucus would support him loyally in the battle against the Key government. With David Shearer, the concern is whether he can carry the fight in Parliament and beyond, with sufficient confidence and authority.

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On the coalition agreements

December 12th, 2011

Now that the three deals done to maintain the National-led coalition are all on the table, its pretty clear how shabby these arrangements really are. United Future for instance has won the promise to “investigate free annual health checks for over 65s when fiscal circumstances allow” – which probably means that any current 65 year olds will be lucky to live to see the benefits of that pledge to “investigate” the idea, whenever “fiscal circumstances” finally make it affordable. Not exactly trumping the Gold Card.

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On Peter Jackson and the West Memphis Three

December 9th, 2011

At first glance, the news earlier this week that Peter Jackson has just completed a documentary on the West Memphis Three case might seem somewhat odd. After all, the three Paradise Lost documentaries made by Joe Berlinger and Bruce Sinofsky on the WM3 case have already been one of the most exhaustive and successful pieces of advocacy journalism in the history of cinema.

Moreover, the third Paradise Lost doco was released only a few months ago at the Toronto Film Festival and – now equipped with an added coda about the release from jail of Damien Echols, Jason Baldwin and Jesse Miskelley – the doco is being shown in Europe, and elsewhere.

However, Jackson is right. The need remains to push on and maintain the pressure for a complete pardon. In order to get out of jail – and when we’re saying jail we’re talking in Echols’ case about being locked away on dearth row amid sensory and social deprivation in one of America’s hideous Supermax prisons – the trio had to take a so-called ‘Alford plea’.

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